Strong Macroeconomic Fundamentals in India

  • India’s economy is in a strong macro “sweet spot” with:
    • High GDP growth (projected ~7% annually from 2024–2028)
    • Controlled inflation
    • Narrowing budget deficit
    • Robust banking and corporate balance sheets
  • India is set to be Asia’s fastest-growing economy this decade as China slows down.
  • Stock markets are expected to attract significant inflows due to stable policies and strong domestic equity demand.

Japan-India Economic Relationship Gaining Momentum

  • India ranked #1 for Japanese manufacturing companies’ overseas business opportunities for the second year running (FY23 Japan Bank for International Cooperation survey).
  • Japanese FDI in India is growing across manufacturing, financial services, infrastructure, IT, healthcare, logistics, real estate, and more.
  • Trade ties remain modest but investments are deepening, driven by:
    • Growth prospects in India’s local markets
    • Large population and inexpensive labor
  • Japanese portfolio investment in Indian equities is also rising, with India topping Japan’s investments in less-developed countries as of end-2022.

Growth Potential for Japanese Corporations in India

  • Current Indian sales represent only about 0.3% of total sales for Japanese companies registered there — very small compared to Japan-China trade growth in the 2000s.
  • The number of Japanese firms reporting significant sales from India is expected to rise substantially over the next 20 years, mirroring China’s trajectory.
  • Key sectors attracting Japanese corporate expansion include automobiles, infrastructure, construction, materials, human resources, healthcare, agriculture, IT services, and finance.

Outlook

  • Japanese companies expanding in India fall into three categories:
    1. Firms citing India as a key growth driver in guidance updates but not yet disclosing Indian sales
    2. Companies acquiring stakes in Indian businesses
    3. Members of the Japan-India Association actively engaged in bilateral growth
  • Indian market development offers Japanese firms a strong complementary growth avenue due to India’s rapid economic expansion and rich talent pool.